English

Exploring Cosmic Dawn with PANORAMIC II: Cosmic Variance and Galaxy Clustering at $z\sim10$

Astrophysics of Galaxies 2025-12-17 v1

Abstract

Observational campaigns with JWST have revealed a higher-than-expected abundance of UV-bright galaxies at z10z\gtrsim10, with various proposed theoretical explanations. A powerful complementary constraint to break degeneracies between different models is galaxy clustering. In this paper, we combine PANORAMIC pure parallel and legacy imaging along 34 independent sightlines to measure the cosmic variance (σCV\sigma_{\rm CV}) in the number count of Lyman break galaxies at z10z\sim10 which is directly related to their clustering strength. We find σCV=0.960.18+0.20\sigma_{\rm CV}=0.96^{+0.20}_{-0.18}, 1.460.44+0.541.46^{+0.54}_{-0.44}, and 1.710.59+0.721.71^{+0.72}_{-0.59} per NIRCam pointing (9.7arcmin2\sim9.7\,{\rm arcmin}^2, 1.5pMpc\lesssim1.5\,{\rm pMpc} at z10z\sim10) for galaxies with MUV<19.5_{\rm UV}<-19.5, 20-20, and 20.5-20.5. Comparing to galaxies in the UniverseMachine, we find that σCV\sigma_{\rm CV} is consistent with our measurements, but that the number densities are a factor 5\gtrsim5 lower. We implement simple models in the UniverseMachine that represent different physical mechanisms to enhance the number density of UV-bright galaxies. All models decrease σCV\sigma_{\rm CV} by placing galaxies at fixed MUV_{\rm UV} in lower mass halos, but they do so to varying degrees. Combined constraints on σCV\sigma_{\rm CV} and the UVLF tentatively disfavor models that globally increase the star formation efficiency (SFE) or the scatter in the MUV_{\rm UV}-MhaloM_{\rm halo} relation, while models that decrease the mass-to-light ratio, or assume a power-law scaling of the SFE with MhaloM_{\rm halo} agree better with the data. We show that with sufficient additional independent sightlines, robust discrimination between models is possible, paving the way for powerful constraints on the physics of early galaxy evolution through NIRCam pure parallel imaging.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.14212,
  title  = {Exploring Cosmic Dawn with PANORAMIC II: Cosmic Variance and Galaxy Clustering at $z\sim10$},
  author = {Andrea Weibel and Christian Kragh Jespersen and Pascal A. Oesch and Christina C. Williams and Rachel Bezanson and Gabriel Brammer and Aidan P. Cloonan and Pratika Dayal and Anne Hutter and Zhiyuan Ji and Michael V. Maseda and Marko Shuntov and Katherine E. Whitaker},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.14212},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

22 pages, 8 figures, submitted to ApJ