Explicit Form of Coefficients in any MA(2) Process
Statistics Theory
2014-05-29 v1 Statistics Theory
Abstract
We shall show that for {\it any} process (apart from those with coefficients lying on certain line-segments) there is {\it one and only one invertible} process with the {\it same} autocovariances . It is this invertible version which computer-packages fit, regardless, even if data came from a non-invertible process. This has consequences for prediction from a fitted process, inasmuch as such prediction would seem to be inappropriate. We express the coefficients of the invertible version in terms of explicitly using analytical reasoning, following a graphical approach of Sbrana (2012) which indicates this result within the invertibility region. We also express in the non-invertibility region.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1405.7067,
title = {Explicit Form of Coefficients in any MA(2) Process},
author = {Simon Ku and Eugene Seneta},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1405.7067},
year = {2014}
}