English

Expanding Protein Structure Prediction into Conformational State Space

Biomolecules 2026-08-03 v1

Abstract

Recent AI advances have enabled protein structure prediction at near-experimental accuracy, largely solving the problem of identifying a dominant conformation from sequence. Many proteins, however, function as dynamic systems populating multiple conformational states with activity emerging from shifts in relative occupancy--an incomplete picture when reduced to one structure. Here, we argue that structure prediction should be reformulated as a state-space inference problem: recovering not one conformation's coordinates but accessible states, their energetic and kinetic relationships, context dependence, and responses to perturbations. We review emerging strategies--deep learning ensemble generators, physics-based simulations, and experimental constraints--and outline a roadmap toward state-space prediction.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2608.02866,
  title  = {Expanding Protein Structure Prediction into Conformational State Space},
  author = {Devlina Chakravarty and Justin J. Miller and Da Teng and Yousuf O. Ramahi and Patrick Bryant and Camila Neira-Mahuzier and César A. Ramírez-Sarmiento and Sarah Rauscher and Gregory R. Bowman and Pratyush Tiwary and Lauren L. Porter},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2608.02866},
  year   = {2026}
}