English

Exogenous Isomorphism for Counterfactual Identifiability

Machine Learning 2025-05-06 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

This paper investigates L3\sim_{\mathcal{L}_3}-identifiability, a form of complete counterfactual identifiability within the Pearl Causal Hierarchy (PCH) framework, ensuring that all Structural Causal Models (SCMs) satisfying the given assumptions provide consistent answers to all causal questions. To simplify this problem, we introduce exogenous isomorphism and propose EI\sim_{\mathrm{EI}}-identifiability, reflecting the strength of model identifiability required for L3\sim_{\mathcal{L}_3}-identifiability. We explore sufficient assumptions for achieving EI\sim_{\mathrm{EI}}-identifiability in two special classes of SCMs: Bijective SCMs (BSCMs), based on counterfactual transport, and Triangular Monotonic SCMs (TM-SCMs), which extend L2\sim_{\mathcal{L}_2}-identifiability. Our results unify and generalize existing theories, providing theoretical guarantees for practical applications. Finally, we leverage neural TM-SCMs to address the consistency problem in counterfactual reasoning, with experiments validating both the effectiveness of our method and the correctness of the theory.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.02212,
  title  = {Exogenous Isomorphism for Counterfactual Identifiability},
  author = {Yikang Chen and Dehui Du},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.02212},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

43 pages, 4 figures. Accepted at ICML 2025 (Spotlight poster)

R2 v1 2026-06-28T23:20:47.512Z