English

Evidence for complex fixed points in pandemic data

Physics and Society 2020-09-30 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

Epidemic data show the existence of a region of quasi-linear growth (strolling period) of infected cases extending in between waves. We demonstrate that this constitutes evidence for the existence of near time-scale invariance that is neatly encoded via complex fixed points in the epidemic Renormalisation Group approach. As a result we achieve a deeper understanding of multiple wave dynamics and its inter-wave strolling regime. Our results are tested and calibrated against the COVID-19 pandemic data. Because of the simplicity of our approach that is organised around symmetry principles our discovery amounts to a paradigm shift in the way epidemiological data are mathematically modelled.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2009.08861,
  title  = {Evidence for complex fixed points in pandemic data},
  author = {Giacomo Cacciapaglia and Francesco Sannino},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.08861},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

9 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T18:38:32.928Z