Entropy-Regularized Certainty-Equivalent Bellman Policies for Risk-Sensitive Market Making
Abstract
We study a finite-inventory risk-sensitive market making problem in which a dealer controls bid and ask quotes, faces Brownian midprice risk, and receives liquidity-taking orders through point processes with quote-dependent intensities. The objective is the certainty equivalent induced by exponential utility with terminal and running inventory penalties. We introduce an exact discrete entropy-regularized Bellman operator that applies log-sum-exp regularization to deterministic-action certainty-equivalent scores, rather than to a risk-neutral one-step reward. This distinction is essential because the exponential certainty equivalent does not commute with quote randomization. For time step and entropy parameter , we prove uniform convergence to the unregularized continuous-time risk-sensitive value at rate We also prove certainty-equivalent performance bounds for the induced Gibbs policies under a fresh-sampling relaxed implementation, in which quote marks are sampled at potential fill events rather than frozen over a time step. Under a quadratic growth condition on the Hamiltonian in the relevant quote coordinates, these policies concentrate around the unregularized optimal quote set. Finally, we show that a lower-cost Hamiltonian-Gibbs proxy satisfies a certainty-equivalent performance bound of the same order as the exact Bellman Gibbs policy. Numerical experiments in an Avellaneda--Stoikov specification support the predicted scaling for discretization error, entropy bias, policy gap, quote concentration, and exact-versus-proxy consistency.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2605.24878,
title = {Entropy-Regularized Certainty-Equivalent Bellman Policies for Risk-Sensitive Market Making},
author = {Tenghan Zhong},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.24878},
year = {2026}
}