English

Engineering polarization: How contradictory stimulation systematically undermines political moderation

Physics and Society 2026-01-23 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

Political moderation, a key attractor in democratic systems, proves highly fragile under realistic information conditions. We develop a stochastic model of opinion dynamics to analyze how noise and differential susceptibility reshape the political spectrum. Extending Marvel et al.'s deterministic framework, we incorporate stochastic media influence ζ(t)\zeta(t) and neuropolitically-grounded sensitivity differences (σy>σx\sigma_y > \sigma_x). Analysis reveals the moderate population -- stable in deterministic models -- undergoes catastrophic collapse under stochastic forcing. This occurs through an effective deradicalization asymmetry (uBeff=u+σy2/2>uAeffu_{B}^{\text{eff}} = u + \sigma_y^2/2 > u_{A}^{\text{eff}}) that drives conservatives to extinction, eliminating cross-cutting interactions that sustain moderates. The system exhibits a phase transition from multi-stable coexistence to liberal dominance, demonstrating how information flow architecture -- independent of content -- systematically dismantles the political center. Our findings reveal moderation as an emergent property highly vulnerable to stochastic perturbations in complex social systems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2601.16181,
  title  = {Engineering polarization: How contradictory stimulation systematically undermines political moderation},
  author = {Renato Vieira dos Santos},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.16181},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:16:13.226Z