English

Empirical Bayes estimation of normal means, accounting for uncertainty in estimated standard errors

Methodology 2019-01-31 v1

Abstract

We consider Empirical Bayes (EB) estimation in the normal means problem, when the standard deviations of the observations are not known precisely, but estimated with error -- which is almost always the case in practical applications. In classical statistics accounting for estimated standard errors usually involves replacing a normal distribution with a tt distribution. This suggests approaching this problem by replacing the normal assumption with a tt assumption, leading to an "EB tt-means problem". Here we show that an approach along these lines can indeed work, but only with some care. Indeed, a naive application of this idea is flawed, and can perform poorly. We suggest how this flaw can be remedied by a two-stage procedure, which first performs EB shrinkage estimation of the standard errors and then solves an EB tt-means problem. We give numerical results illustrating the effectiveness of this remedy.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1901.10679,
  title  = {Empirical Bayes estimation of normal means, accounting for uncertainty in estimated standard errors},
  author = {Mengyin Lu and Matthew Stephens},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.10679},
  year   = {2019}
}