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EMFusion: An Uncertainty-Aware Conditional Diffusion Framework for Frequency-Selective EMF Forecasting in Wireless Networks

Machine Learning 2026-05-18 v3 Artificial Intelligence Systems and Control Systems and Control

Abstract

The rapid growth in wireless infrastructure has increased the need to accurately estimate and forecast electromagnetic field (EMF) levels to ensure ongoing compliance, assess potential health impacts, and support efficient network planning. While existing studies rely on univariate forecasting of wideband aggregate EMF data, frequency-selective multivariate forecasting is needed to capture the inter-operator and inter-frequency variations essential for proactive network planning. To this end, this paper introduces EMFusion, a conditional multivariate diffusion-based probabilistic forecasting framework that integrates diverse contextual factors, such as time of day, season, and holidays, while providing explicit uncertainty estimates. The proposed architecture features a residual U-Net backbone enhanced by a cross-attention mechanism that dynamically integrates external conditions to guide the generation process. Furthermore, EMFusion integrates an imputation-based sampling strategy that treats forecasting as a structural inpainting task, ensuring temporal coherence even with irregular measurements. Unlike standard point forecasters, EMFusion generates empirical probabilistic prediction intervals from the learned conditional distribution, providing uncertainty-aware probabilistic forecasting rather than simple point estimation. Numerical experiments conducted on frequency-selective EMF datasets demonstrate that EMFusion with the contextual information of working hours outperforms the baseline models with or without conditions. EMFusion outperforms the best baseline by 23.85% in continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), 13.93% in normalized root mean square error, and reduces prediction CRPS error by 22.47%.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.15067,
  title  = {EMFusion: An Uncertainty-Aware Conditional Diffusion Framework for Frequency-Selective EMF Forecasting in Wireless Networks},
  author = {Zijiang Yan and Yixiang Huang and Jianhua Pei and Hina Tabassum and Luca Chiaraviglio},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.15067},
  year   = {2026}
}

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Submission for possible publication

R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:28:31.494Z