Dynamics of epidemic models from cavity master equations
Physics and Society
2021-03-02 v2 Populations and Evolution
Abstract
We apply the cavity master equation (CME) approach to epidemics models. We explore mostly the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model, which can be readily treated with the CME as a two-state. We show that this approach is more accurate than individual based and pair based mean field methods, and a previously published dynamic message passing scheme. We explore average case predictions and extend the cavity master equation to SIR and SIRS models.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2006.15881,
title = {Dynamics of epidemic models from cavity master equations},
author = {Ernesto Ortega and David Machado and Alejandro Lage-Castellanos},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.15881},
year = {2021}
}