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Does Ideological Polarization Lead to Policy Polarization?

Theoretical Economics 2026-01-13 v5

Abstract

I study an election between two ideologically polarized parties that are both office- and policy-motivated. The parties compete by proposing policies on a single issue. The analysis uncovers a non-monotonic relationship between ideological and policy polarization. When ideological polarization is low, an increase leads to policy moderation; when it is high, the opposite occurs, and policies become more extreme. Moreover, incorporating ideological polarization refines our understanding of the role of valence: both high- and low-valence candidates may adopt more extreme positions, depending on the electorate's degree of ideological polarization.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2502.14712,
  title  = {Does Ideological Polarization Lead to Policy Polarization?},
  author = {Philipp Denter},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.14712},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T21:51:36.202Z