This short document provides experimental evidence for the set of assumptions on the mean load and forecast errors made in \cite{Sevlian2014A_Outage} and \cite{Sevlian2014B_Outage}. We show that the mean load at any given node is distributed normally, where we compute the mean and variance. We then present an aggregation-error curve for a single day ahead forecaster. Residual analysis shows that beyond 500 customers, gaussian residuals is a reasonable model. We then show the forecaster has uncorrelated errors.
@article{arxiv.1407.3322,
title = {Distribution System Load and Forecast Model},
author = {Raffi Sevlian and Siddarth Patel and Ram Rajagopal},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1407.3322},
year = {2014}
}