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Discovering EV Charging Site Archetypes Through Few Shot Forecasting: The First U.S.-Wide Study

Machine Learning 2025-11-19 v2

Abstract

The decarbonization of transportation relies on the widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), which requires an accurate understanding of charging behavior to ensure cost-effective, grid-resilient infrastructure. Existing work is constrained by small-scale datasets, simple proximity-based modeling of temporal dependencies, and weak generalization to sites with limited operational history. To overcome these limitations, this work proposes a framework that integrates clustering with few-shot forecasting to uncover site archetypes using a novel large-scale dataset of charging demand. The results demonstrate that archetype-specific expert models outperform global baselines in forecasting demand at unseen sites. By establishing forecast performance as a basis for infrastructure segmentation, we generate actionable insights that enable operators to lower costs, optimize energy and pricing strategies, and support grid resilience critical to climate goals.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.26910,
  title  = {Discovering EV Charging Site Archetypes Through Few Shot Forecasting: The First U.S.-Wide Study},
  author = {Kshitij Nikhal and Lucas Ackerknecht and Benjamin S. Riggan and Phillip Stahlfeld},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.26910},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning: Workshop at NeurIPS 2025

R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:14:36.410Z