Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models
Econometrics
2022-07-26 v1
Abstract
This paper proposes methods to investigate whether the bubble patterns observed in individual series are common to various series. We detect the non-linear dynamics using the recent mixed causal and noncausal models. Both a likelihood ratio test and information criteria are investigated, the former having better performances in our Monte Carlo simulations. Implementing our approach on three commodity prices we do not find evidence of commonalities although some series look very similar.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2207.11557,
title = {Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models},
author = {Gianluca Cubadda and Alain Hecq and Elisa Voisin},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.11557},
year = {2022}
}