English

crumble: A comprehensive framework for modern causal mediation analysis with intermediate confounding

Methodology 2026-04-14 v1 Applications

Abstract

Causal mediation analysis is widely used to investigate how causal effects operate through specific pathways linking treatments or exposures to outcomes. Recently, \texttt{crumble} was developed to enable nonparametric estimation of several mediation parameters, even when mediators are continuous and/or multi-dimensional or when treatments are non-binary. But a practical and accessible guide to using \texttt{crumble} -- one that does not require deep familiarity with mediation analysis or semiparametric theory -- is currently lacking. This tutorial aims to an accessible introduction to \texttt{crumble} while minimizing technical complexity. We first review the mediation parameters implemented in \texttt{crumble} -- natural direct and indirect effects, randomized interventional effects, and recanting-twin effects. For each, we give the definition, interpretation, identification assumptions, and suitability in the presence or absence of intermediate confounding. Then, we demonstrate the usage of \texttt{crumble} by examining an example configuration. Next, we describe how \texttt{crumble} accommodates non-binary treatments through modified treatment policies. Finally, we illustrate the practical use of \texttt{crumble} through two case studies -- one with a binary treatment and one with a non-binary treatment -- based on the Job Search Intervention Study data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.09902,
  title  = {crumble: A comprehensive framework for modern causal mediation analysis with intermediate confounding},
  author = {Richard Liu and Nicholas T. Williams and Kara E. Rudolph and Ivan Diaz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.09902},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:03:51.390Z