Cosmic chronometers, Pantheon+ supernovae, and quasars favor coasting cosmologies over the flat $\Lambda$CDM model
Abstract
We test and compare coasting cosmological models with curvature parameters in units and the flat CDM model by fitting them to cosmic chronometers (CC), the Pantheon+ sample of type Ia supernovae (SNe), and standardized quasars (QSOs). We used the \texttt{emcee} code for fitting CC data, a custom Markov Chain Monte Carlo implementation for SNe and QSOs, and Anderson-Darling tests for normality on normalized residuals for model comparison. Best-fit parameters are presented, constrained by data within redshift ranges for CCs, for SNe, and for QSOs. Coasting models, particularly the flat coasting model, are generally favored over the flat CDM model. The overfitting of the flat CDM model to Pantheon+ SNe and the large intrinsic scatter in QSO data suggest a need to refine error estimates in these datasets. We also highlight the seemingly fine-tuned nature of either the CC data or in the flat CDM model to an coincidence when fitting , a natural feature of coasting models.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2412.15717,
title = {Cosmic chronometers, Pantheon+ supernovae, and quasars favor coasting cosmologies over the flat $\Lambda$CDM model},
author = {Peter Raffai and Adrienn Pataki and Rebeka L. Böttger and Alexandra Karsai and Gergely Dálya},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.15717},
year = {2025}
}
Comments
Accepted for publication in ApJ. Code and posterior plots available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14184660