Controlled Penumbral Inflation from Monodromic Valleys

Long monodromic valleys arise in the penumbra of complex-structure moduli space. We show that their local branch data already determine whether they support controlled inflation, and thereby isolate the first controlled penumbral inflationary window. In the axion--saxion effective theory given in Eq.4, a branch-displacing odd term generates a plateau when $\Delta\equiv p+2\nu-q>0$, while covariant single-clock control further requires $p<2$, or $p=2$ with $12A_pm^2/V_0\gg1$ over the observational window. This splits penumbral valleys into no plateau, uncontrolled plateau, and controlled plateau before global completion is attempted. We identify a minimal analytic family with a closed-form valley and an invariant attractor equation for the full two-field dynamics, providing the first exactly solvable penumbral realization that remains predictive under the next penumbral order. The penumbra is thus promoted from a geometric suggestion to a predictive search principle.