Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions
Abstract
We study regressions with multiple treatments and a set of controls that is flexible enough to purge omitted variable bias. We show that these regressions generally fail to estimate convex averages of heterogeneous treatment effects -- instead, estimates of each treatment's effect are contaminated by non-convex averages of the effects of other treatments. We discuss three estimation approaches that avoid such contamination bias, including the targeting of easiest-to-estimate weighted average effects. A re-analysis of nine empirical applications finds economically and statistically meaningful contamination bias in observational studies; contamination bias in experimental studies is more limited due to smaller variability in propensity scores.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2106.05024,
title = {Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions},
author = {Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Peter Hull and Michal Kolesár},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.05024},
year = {2024}
}
Comments
69 pages, including all appendices