Conditionality principle under unconstrained randomness
Statistics Theory
2025-03-11 v2 Methodology
Statistics Theory
Abstract
A very simple example demonstrates that Fisher's application of the conditionality principle to regression ("fixed- regression"), endorsed by Sprott and many other followers, makes prediction impossible in the context of statistical learning theory. On the other hand, relaxing the requirement of conditionality makes it possible via, e.g., conformal prediction.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2402.04859,
title = {Conditionality principle under unconstrained randomness},
author = {Vladimir Vovk},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.04859},
year = {2025}
}
Comments
7 pages