Computational Complexity of Physical Counting
Abstract
We characterize which coordinates of a factored state space determine optimal actions. For with , coordinate set is sufficient if . The decision quotient () is the minimal abstraction: any abstraction preserving optimal actions factors uniquely through . We prove fourteen first-principles theorems (thirteen from pure mathematics, one empirical). The chain from counting measure to probability to Bayes' theorem to follows from finite set cardinality. Fisher information, entropy, optimal transport, rate-distortion, and thermodynamics each independently recover as decision complexity measure. From alone, Bayesian updating uniquely minimizes expected log loss. Complexity: SUFFICIENCY-CHECK and MINIMUM-SUFFICIENT-SET are coNP-complete; ANCHOR-SUFFICIENCY is -complete; stochastic and sequential variants PP- and PSPACE-complete with strict separation. Six subcases admit polynomial algorithms. Under ETH, succinct encodings carry lower bounds. Verification requires witness pairs. Two results carry empirical conditions. Conditional on Landauer's principle ( per bit erasure; experimentally confirmed 2012), follows by composition with bit-operation bounds; rejecting it requires rejecting Landauer. Conditional on stochastic thermodynamics (Barato--Seifert 2015), bounds decision precision by entropy production, minimal scaling with .
Cite
@article{arxiv.2601.15571,
title = {Computational Complexity of Physical Counting},
author = {Tristan Simas},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.15571},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
All results are machine-checked in Lean 4 with no `sorry` placeholders. Complexity results carry their hypotheses as explicit Lean theorem parameters. A machine-generated assumption ledger records all conditional dependencies. There are no hidden axioms. 132 pages, Lean 4 artifact: 28863 lines, 1252 theorems/lemmas across 113 files (0 sorry placeholders)