Complete dimensional collapse in the continuum limit of a delayed SEIQR network model with separable distributed infectivity
Abstract
We take up a recently proposed compartmental SEIQR model with delays, ignore loss of immunity in the context of a fast pandemic, extend the model to a network structured on infectivity, and consider the continuum limit of the same with a simple separable interaction model for the infectivities . Numerical simulations show that the evolving dynamics of the network is effectively captured by a single scalar function of time, regardless of the distribution of in the population. The continuum limit of the network model allows a simple derivation of the simpler model, which is a single scalar delay differential equation (DDE), wherein the variation in appears through an integral closely related to the moment generating function of . If the first few moments of exist, the governing DDE can be expanded in a series that shows a direct correspondence with the original compartmental DDE with a single . Even otherwise, the new scalar DDE can be solved using either numerical integration over at each time step, or with the analytical integral if available in some useful form. Our work provides a new academic example of complete dimensional collapse, ties up an underlying continuum model for a pandemic with a simpler-seeming compartmental model, and will hopefully lead to new analysis of continuum models for epidemics.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2004.12405,
title = {Complete dimensional collapse in the continuum limit of a delayed SEIQR network model with separable distributed infectivity},
author = {C. P. Vyasarayani and Anindya Chatterjee},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.12405},
year = {2020}
}