English

Comparing Approximate Bayesian Computation with the Poisson-Likelihood Method for Exoplanet Occurrence Rates

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics 2020-06-18 v1 Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics

Abstract

We present Kepler exoplanet occurrence rates inferred with approximate Bayesian computation (ABC). By using the same planet catalogue, stellar sample, and characterization of completeness and reliability as Bryson et al. (2020), we are able to provide the first direct comparison of results from ABC to those derived with the popular Poisson-likelihood method. For planets with orbital periods between 50 and 400 days and radii between 0.75 and 2.5 RR_{\oplus}, we find an integrated occurrence rate F0=0.5960.099+0.092F_{0} = 0.596_{-0.099}^{+0.092} planets per GK dwarf star. After correcting for reliability against astrophysical false positives and false alarms, we find F0=0.4210.072+0.086F_{0} = 0.421_{-0.072}^{+0.086}. Our findings agree within 1σ\sigma of Bryson et al. (2020), indicating that the results are robust and not method-dependent.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2006.09667,
  title  = {Comparing Approximate Bayesian Computation with the Poisson-Likelihood Method for Exoplanet Occurrence Rates},
  author = {Michelle Kunimoto and Steve Bryson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.09667},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

3 pages, 1 figure, published in RNAAS

R2 v1 2026-06-23T16:23:43.891Z