English

Collaborative targeted inference from continuously indexed nuisance parameter estimators

Methodology 2018-04-09 v2 Statistics Theory Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

We wish to infer the value of a parameter at a law from which we sample independent observations. The parameter is smooth and we can define two variation-independent features of the law, its QQ- and GG-components, such that estimating them consistently at a fast enough product of rates allows to build a confidence interval (CI) with a given asymptotic level from a plain targeted minimum loss estimator (TMLE). Say that the above product is not fast enough and the algorithm for the GG-component is fine-tuned by a real-valued hh. A plain TMLE with an hh chosen by cross-validation would typically not yield a CI. We construct a collaborative TMLE (C-TMLE) and show under mild conditions that, if there exists an oracle hh that makes a bulky remainder term asymptotically Gaussian, then the C-TMLE yields a CI. We illustrate our findings with the inference of the average treatment effect. We conduct a simulation study where the GG-component is estimated by the LASSO and hh is the bound on the coefficients' norms. It sheds light on small sample properties, in the face of low- to high-dimensional baseline covariates, and possibly positivity violation.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1804.00102,
  title  = {Collaborative targeted inference from continuously indexed nuisance parameter estimators},
  author = {Cheng Ju and Antoine Chambaz and Mark J. van der Laan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.00102},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

38 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-23T01:10:18.636Z