Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account
Artificial Intelligence
2011-06-21 v1
Abstract
Individuals have an intuitive perception of what makes a good coincidence. Though the sensitivity to coincidences has often been presented as resulting from an erroneous assessment of probability, it appears to be a genuine competence, based on non-trivial computations. The model presented here suggests that coincidences occur when subjects perceive complexity drops. Co-occurring events are, together, simpler than if considered separately. This model leads to a possible redefinition of subjective probability.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1106.3932,
title = {Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account},
author = {Jean-Louis J. -L. Dessalles},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1106.3932},
year = {2011}
}
Comments
30th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Washington : United States (2008)