English

Classifying one-dimensional discrete models with maximum likelihood degree one

Combinatorics 2025-06-12 v3 Algebraic Geometry Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

We propose a classification of all one-dimensional discrete statistical models with maximum likelihood degree one based on their rational parametrization. We show how all such models can be constructed from members of a smaller class of 'fundamental models' using a finite number of simple operations. We introduce 'chipsplitting games', a class of combinatorial games on a grid which we use to represent fundamental models. This combinatorial perspective enables us to show that there are only finitely many fundamental models in the probability simplex Δn\Delta_n for n4n\leq 4.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2205.09547,
  title  = {Classifying one-dimensional discrete models with maximum likelihood degree one},
  author = {Arthur Bik and Orlando Marigliano},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.09547},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

39 pages. Accepted version

R2 v1 2026-06-24T11:22:17.586Z