English

Cislunar State and Uncertainty Propagation via the Modified Generalized Equinoctial Orbital Elements

Dynamical Systems 2026-03-23 v1 Earth and Planetary Astrophysics Probability

Abstract

The complex cislunar dynamical environment poses challenges for spacecraft navigation and Space Domain Awareness (SDA) operations, where the knowledge of current and future spacecraft states is essential. Conventional Gaussian-based approaches for SDA degrade under the nonlinearities that manifest in this regime. To accurately model the underlying dynamics and characterize uncertainty, this work explores the Modified Generalized Equinoctial Orbital Elements under high-fidelity propagation for cislunar applications. The Henze-Zirkler test for multivariate normality is leveraged to evaluate uncertainty evolution across a range of orbits, demonstrating improved preservation of Gaussian behavior in cislunar space.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.20110,
  title  = {Cislunar State and Uncertainty Propagation via the Modified Generalized Equinoctial Orbital Elements},
  author = {Maaninee Gupta and Kyle J. DeMars},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.20110},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Submitted to Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy