English

Characteristic function and Esscher transform of a switching Levy model for the temperature dynamic

Probability 2024-12-02 v1

Abstract

In this paper we extend models for the dynamic of the temperatures by considering random switching between Levy noises instead of Brownian motions, with a mean-reverting movement towards a seasonal periodic function. The use of Levy noises allows for jumps, capturing, together with the regime changes, sudden and relatively persistent oscillations in the weather. An approximated close-form expression for the characteristic function of the temperature process under an Esscher transform is given.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2411.19192,
  title  = {Characteristic function and Esscher transform of a switching Levy model for the temperature dynamic},
  author = {Rofeide Jabbari and Pablo Olivares},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.19192},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

22 pages, 3 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T20:15:59.562Z