English

CausalVAE as a Plug-in for World Models: Towards Reliable Counterfactual Dynamics

Machine Learning 2026-04-10 v1

Abstract

In this work, CausalVAE is introduced as a plug-in structural module for latent world models and is attached to diverse encoder-transition backbones. Across the reported benchmarks, competitive factual prediction is preserved and intervention-aware counterfactual retrieval is improved after the plug-in is added, suggesting stronger robustness under distribution shift and interventions. The largest gains are observed on the Physics benchmark: when averaged over 8 paired baselines, CF-H@1 is improved by +102.5%. In a representative GNN-NLL setting on Physics, CF-H@1 is increased from 11.0 to 41.0 (+272.7%). Through causal analysis, learned structural dependencies are shown to recover meaningful first-order physical interaction trends, supporting the interpretability of the learned latent causal structure.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.07712,
  title  = {CausalVAE as a Plug-in for World Models: Towards Reliable Counterfactual Dynamics},
  author = {Ziyi Ding and Xianxin Lai and Weiyu Chen and Xiao-Ping Zhang and Jiayu Chen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.07712},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:00:23.133Z