English

Causal inference for continuous-time processes when covariates are observed only at discrete times

Statistics Theory 2011-03-09 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Most of the work on the structural nested model and g-estimation for causal inference in longitudinal data assumes a discrete-time underlying data generating process. However, in some observational studies, it is more reasonable to assume that the data are generated from a continuous-time process and are only observable at discrete time points. When these circumstances arise, the sequential randomization assumption in the observed discrete-time data, which is essential in justifying discrete-time g-estimation, may not be reasonable. Under a deterministic model, we discuss other useful assumptions that guarantee the consistency of discrete-time g-estimation. In more general cases, when those assumptions are violated, we propose a controlling-the-future method that performs at least as well as g-estimation in most scenarios and which provides consistent estimation in some cases where g-estimation is severely inconsistent. We apply the methods discussed in this paper to simulated data, as well as to a data set collected following a massive flood in Bangladesh, estimating the effect of diarrhea on children's height. Results from different methods are compared in both simulation and the real application.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1103.1472,
  title  = {Causal inference for continuous-time processes when covariates are observed only at discrete times},
  author = {Mingyuan Zhang and Marshall M. Joffe and Dylan S. Small},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1103.1472},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOS830 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)

R2 v1 2026-06-21T17:36:27.972Z