English

Carving model-free inference

Statistics Theory 2023-07-26 v5 Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Complex studies involve many steps. Selecting promising findings based on pilot data is a first step. As more observations are collected, the investigator must decide how to combine the new data with the pilot data to construct valid selective inference. Carving, introduced by Fithian et al. (2014), enables the reuse of pilot data during selective inference and accounts for over-optimism from the selection process. Currently, the justification for carving is tied to parametric models, like the commonly used Gaussian model. In this paper, we develop the asymptotic theory to substantiate the use of carving beyond Gaussian models. Through both simulated and real instances, we find that carving produces valid and tight confidence intervals within a model-free setting.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1811.03142,
  title  = {Carving model-free inference},
  author = {Snigdha Panigrahi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1811.03142},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

46 pages, 2 figures, 3 Tables

R2 v1 2026-06-23T05:08:18.684Z