Carbon Ignition in Type Ia Supernovae: An Analytic Model

The observable properties of a Type Ia supernova are sensitive to how the nuclear runaway ignites in a Chandrasekhar mass white dwarf - at a single point at its center, off-center, or at multiple points and times. We present a simple analytic model for the runaway based upon a combination of stellar mixing-length theory and recent advances in understanding Rayleigh-Benard convection. The convective flow just prior to runaway is likely to have a strong dipolar component, though higher multipoles may contribute appreciably at the very high Rayleigh number (10$^{25}$) appropriate to the white dwarf core. A likely outcome is multi-point ignition with an exponentially increasing number of ignition points during the few tenths of a second that it takes the runaway to develop. The first sparks ignite approximately 150 - 200 km off center, followed by ignition at smaller radii. Rotation may be important to break the dipole asymmetry of the ignition and give a healthy explosion.