Bubble Necessity Theorem
Theoretical Economics
2024-08-12 v5 Mathematical Finance
Abstract
Asset price bubbles are situations where asset prices exceed the fundamental values defined by the present value of dividends. This paper presents a conceptually new perspective: the necessity of bubbles. We establish the Bubble Necessity Theorem in a plausible general class of economic models: with faster long-run economic growth () than dividend growth () and counterfactual long-run autarky interest rate () below dividend growth, all equilibria are bubbly with non-negligible bubble sizes relative to the economy. This bubble necessity condition naturally arises in economies with sufficiently strong savings motives and multiple factors or sectors with uneven productivity growth.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2305.08268,
title = {Bubble Necessity Theorem},
author = {Tomohiro Hirano and Alexis Akira Toda},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.08268},
year = {2024}
}