English

Breaking Multivariate Records

Probability 2023-03-09 v2

Abstract

For a sequence of i.i.d. dd-dimensional random vectors with independent continuously distributed coordinates, say that the nnth observation in the sequence sets a record if it is not dominated in every coordinate by an earlier observation; for jnj \leq n, say that the jjth observation is a current record at time nn if it has not been dominated in every coordinate by any of the first nn observations; and say that the nnth observation breaks kk records if it sets a record and there are kk observations that are current records at time n1n - 1 but not at time nn. For general dimension dd, we identify, with proof, the asymptotic conditional distribution of the number of (Pareto) records broken by an observation given that the observation sets a record. Fix dd, and let K(d){\mathcal K}(d) be a random variable with this distribution. We show that the (right) tail of K(d){\mathcal K}(d) satisfies {\mathbb P}({\mathcal K}(d) \geq k) \leq \exp\left[ - \Omega\!\left( k^{(d - 1) / (d^2 + d - 3)} \right) \right]\ \ \mbox{as $k \to \infty$} and {\mathbb P}({\mathcal K}(d) \geq k) \geq \exp\left[ - O\!\left( k^{1 / (d - 1)} \right) \right]\ \ \mbox{as $k \to \infty$}. When d=2d = 2, the description of K(2){\mathcal K}(2) in terms of a Poisson process agrees with the main result from Fill [Comb. Probab. Comput. 30 (2021) 105--123] that K(2){\mathcal K}(2) has the same distribution as G1{\mathcal G} - 1, where {\mathcal G} \sim \mbox{Geometric(1/2)}. Note that the lower bound on P(K(d)k){\mathbb P}({\mathcal K}(d) \geq k) implies that the distribution of K(d){\mathcal K}(d) is NOT (shifted) Geometric for any d3d \geq 3. We show that P(K(d)1)=exp[Θ(d)]{\mathbb P}({\mathcal K}(d) \geq 1) = \exp[-\Theta(d)] as dd \to \infty; in particular, K(d)0{\mathcal K}(d) \to 0 in probability as dd \to \infty.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.14846,
  title  = {Breaking Multivariate Records},
  author = {James Allen Fill},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.14846},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

31 pages; original version submitted for publication in September, 2021; accepted subject to revision in October, 2022; revision submitted in March, 2023 The revised manuscript included 3 new figures; a new, simpler proof of Lemma 3.2(i); and a correction to the statement and proof of Theorem 5.1, along with several small corrections and other changes

R2 v1 2026-06-24T06:30:19.560Z