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Bayesian Posteriors Without Bayes' Theorem

Statistics Theory 2012-03-02 v1 Information Theory math.IT Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

The classical Bayesian posterior arises naturally as the unique solution of several different optimization problems, without the necessity of interpreting data as conditional probabilities and then using Bayes' Theorem. For example, the classical Bayesian posterior is the unique posterior that minimizes the loss of Shannon information in combining the prior and the likelihood distributions. These results, direct corollaries of recent results about conflations of probability distributions, reinforce the use of Bayesian posteriors, and may help partially reconcile some of the differences between classical and Bayesian statistics.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1203.0251,
  title  = {Bayesian Posteriors Without Bayes' Theorem},
  author = {Theodore P. Hill and Marco Dall'Aglio},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1203.0251},
  year   = {2012}
}

Comments

6 pages, no figures

R2 v1 2026-06-21T20:27:42.567Z