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Bayesian Inference for Non-Conjugate Distance Dependent Chinese Restaurant Process Models

Methodology 2026-05-18 v1 Computation

Abstract

The distance dependent Chinese Restaurant Process (ddCRP) provides a flexible prior distribution for clustering observations, incorporating covariate information through pairwise distances and accommodating a rich variety of cluster structures. When cluster parameters are conjugate to the likelihood, Bayesian inference is straightforward. In the non-conjugate setting, however, inference becomes substantially more challenging due to the trans-dimensional parameter spaces that arise as cluster assignments change. We develop a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) framework to address this challenge, targeting the dimension-changing nature of cluster parameter vectors when observation assignments are updated. We introduce and compare several proposal strategies for birth and death moves, including prior-based, independence, and data-driven moment-matching proposals that target regions of high posterior density. For fixed-dimensional moves, we propose a posterior resampling strategy that improves acceptance rates while maintaining computational efficiency. Through a simulation study and an application to Old Faithful eruption durations, we demonstrate moment-matched proposals offer a principled, data-driven alternative to prior-based proposals. The resulting methodology provides a general RJMCMC framework for ddCRP models with non-conjugate likelihoods, demonstrated here on both discrete and continuous observation models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.15847,
  title  = {Bayesian Inference for Non-Conjugate Distance Dependent Chinese Restaurant Process Models},
  author = {Joseph Marsh and Theodore Kypraios and Rowland G. Seymour},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.15847},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

23 pages, 6 figures, 1 table. Includes supplementary material. Code available at https://github.com/jmarsh96/non-conjugate-ddcrp

R2 v1 2026-07-22T07:14:15.269Z