English

Atmospheric Escape Rates from Mars - If it Orbited an Old M-Dwarf Star

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics 2026-03-13 v1

Abstract

Atmospheric escape is an important process that influences the evolution of planetary atmospheres. A variety of physical mechanisms can contribute to escape from an atmosphere, including thermal escape, ion escape, photochemical escape, and sputtering. Here we estimate escape rates via each of these processes for a hypothetical Mars-like exoplanet orbiting Barnard's star (an old, inactive M dwarf star). We place the planet at an orbital distance that receives the same total stellar flux as it does in our solar system. We use the measured stellar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) spectrum and assumptions on the star's magnetic field to determine both the high-energy radiation and the stellar wind environment around the planet. This information is used to model the response of the planet's thermosphere, exosphere and magnetosphere using a variety of models that have been validated against solar system observations. We find overall escape rates that are dominated by thermal processes and elevated by 2-5 orders of magnitude relative to present-day Mars, suggesting that a Mars-like planet orbiting Barnard's star would not retain a significant atmosphere for more than 10's of millions of years. Recently reported planets around Barnard's star should also not have retained significant atmospheres. By extension, Mars-like planets orbiting any M dwarf near the 'Habitable Zone' should not retain atmospheres for extended periods of time.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.11561,
  title  = {Atmospheric Escape Rates from Mars - If it Orbited an Old M-Dwarf Star},
  author = {David A. Brain and Ofer Cohen and Thomas E. Cravens and Kevin France and Alex Glocer and Parker Hinton and Francois Leblanc and Yingjuan Ma and Akifumi Nakayama and Shotaro Sakai and Ryoya Sakata and Kanako Seki and Julián D. Alvarado-Gómez and Zachory Berta-Thompson and Eryn M. Cangi and Michael Chaffin and Jean-Yves Chaufray and Renata Frelikh and Yoshifumi Futaana and Katherine Garcia-Sage and Lukas Hanson and Mats Holmström and Bruce Jakosky and Riku Jarvinen and Ravi Kopparapu and Daniel R. Marsh and Aimee Merkel and Thomas Earle Moore and Yuta Notsu and Rachel A. Osten and William K. Peterson and Laura Peticolas and Robin Ramstad and Kevin B. Stevenson and Robert Strangeway and Wenyi Sun and Naoki Terada and Aline A. Vidotto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.11561},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

39 pages, 8 figures, submitted to ApJ