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Asymptotic expansion for the Hartman-Watson distribution

Probability 2024-12-20 v3 Numerical Analysis Numerical Analysis Mathematical Finance

Abstract

The Hartman-Watson distribution with density fr(t)f_r(t) is a probability distribution defined on t0t \geq 0 which appears in several problems of applied probability. The density of this distribution is expressed in terms of an integral θ(r,t)\theta(r,t) which is difficult to evaluate numerically for small t0t\to 0. Using saddle point methods, we obtain the first two terms of the t0t\to 0 expansion of θ(ρ/t,t)\theta(\rho/t,t) at fixed ρ>0\rho >0. An error bound is obtained by numerical estimates of the integrand, which is furthermore uniform in ρ\rho. As an application we obtain the leading asymptotics of the density of the time average of the geometric Brownian motion as t0t\to 0. This has the form P(1t0te2(Bs+μs)dsda)(2πt)1/2g(a,μ)e1tJ(a)da/a\mathbb{P}(\frac{1}{t} \int_0^t e^{2(B_s+\mu s)} ds \in da) \sim (2\pi t)^{-1/2} g(a,\mu) e^{-\frac{1}{t} J(a)} da/a, with an exponent J(a)J(a) which reproduces the known result obtained previously using Large Deviations theory.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2001.09579,
  title  = {Asymptotic expansion for the Hartman-Watson distribution},
  author = {Dan Pirjol},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.09579},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

19 pages, 5 figures. Expanded version of paper published in Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability vol. 23, 1537-1549 (2021). v2: Added an explicit treatment of the boundary case $\rho=1$, and an improved error bound. v3: Fixed a few typos and reformulated slightly Proposition 6

R2 v1 2026-06-23T13:21:10.972Z