English

An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation

Astrophysics of Galaxies 2026-04-13 v2 Solar and Stellar Astrophysics

Abstract

The optimization and interpretation of microlensing surveys depends on having an accurate model of the Milky Way. However, existing population synthesis Galactic modeling tools often perform poorly in replicating the stellar contents of the inner Galactic bulge region and reproducing microlensing survey results. We present an updated Galactic model implementation within the \synthpop framework that has been tuned for simulating the upcoming {\it Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope}'s Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (RGBTDS). We evaluate the model against stellar catalogs and kinematics from optical and infrared surveys toward the Galactic bulge, finding good agreement in much of the bulge, including the RGBTDS' contiguous lower bulge fields. However, within Galactic latitudes of b0.5b\lesssim0.5^\circ of the Galactic plane, some inconsistencies arise which may impact projections for the RGBTDS' Galactic center field. The model over-predicts optical microlensing event rate per star measurements by a 20\sim20\%, but detailed comparisons to near-infrared measurements are hampered by their lack of detection efficiencies. {\it Roman}'s GBTDS and Galactic Plane Survey will be instrumental in resolving the remaining model inconsistencies and improving our understanding of the structure of the central few degrees of our Galaxy.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.12219,
  title  = {An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation},
  author = {Macy J. Huston and Alison L. Crisp and Marz Newman and Riley Patlak and Matthew T. Penny and Jonas Kluter and Samson A. Johnson and Peter McGill and Leigh C. Smith and Victor Karkour and Natasha S. Abrams and Rachel B. Fernandes and B. Scott Gaudi and Casey Y. Lam and Jessica R. Lu and Carissma McGee and Sebastiano Calchi Novati and Keivan G. Stassun and Sean K. Terry and Himanshu Verma and Farzaneh Zohrabi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.12219},
  year   = {2026}
}

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R2 v1 2026-07-01T11:17:15.205Z