Almost Optimal Variance-Constrained Best Arm Identification

We design and analyze VA-LUCB, a parameter-free algorithm, for identifying the best arm under the fixed-confidence setup and under a stringent constraint that the variance of the chosen arm is strictly smaller than a given threshold. An upper bound on VA-LUCB's sample complexity is shown to be characterized by a fundamental variance-aware hardness quantity $H_{VA}$. By proving a lower bound, we show that sample complexity of VA-LUCB is optimal up to a factor logarithmic in $H_{VA}$. Extensive experiments corroborate the dependence of the sample complexity on the various terms in $H_{VA}$. By comparing VA-LUCB's empirical performance to a close competitor RiskAverse-UCB-BAI by David et al. (2018), our experiments suggest that VA-LUCB has the lowest sample complexity for this class of risk-constrained best arm identification problems, especially for the riskiest instances.