English

Activity delay patterns in project networks

Physics and Society 2024-03-06 v3

Abstract

Delays in activities completion drive human projects to schedule and cost overruns. It is believed activity delays are the consequence of multiple idiosyncrasies without specific patterns or rules. Here we show that is not the case. Using data for 180 construction project schedules, we demonstrate that activity delays satisfy a universal model that we call the law of activity delays. After we correct for delay risk factors, what remains follows a log-normal distribution.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2304.10304,
  title  = {Activity delay patterns in project networks},
  author = {Alexei Vazquez and Chrysostomos Marasinou and Georgios Kalogridis and Christos Ellinas},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.10304},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

16 pages, 4 figures, 1 table

R2 v1 2026-06-28T10:12:26.845Z