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Accuracy and validity of posterior distributions using the Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods

Statistics Theory 2017-11-03 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

The class of Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods are constructed with weights derived at a minimum distance from the empirical distribution in the Cressie-Read family of divergences indexed by γ\gamma under the constraint of an unbiased set of MM-estimating equations. At first order, they provide valid posterior probability statements for any given prior, but the bias in coverage of the resulting empirical quantile is inversely proportional to the asymptotic efficiency of the corresponding MM-estimator. The Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods based on the maximum likelihood estimating equations bring about quantiles covering with O(n1)O(n^{-1}) accuracy at the underlying posterior distribution. The choice of γ\gamma has an impact on the variance in small samples of the posterior quantile function. Examples are given for the MM-type estimating equations of location and for the quasi-likelihood functions in the generalized linear models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1708.00711,
  title  = {Accuracy and validity of posterior distributions using the Cressie-Read empirical likelihoods},
  author = {Laura Turbatu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1708.00711},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

33 pages, 1 figure