A VLA Search for the Geminga Pulsar: A Bayesian Limit on a Scintillating Source

We derive an upper limit of 3 mJy (95% confidence) for the flux density at 317 MHz of the Geminga pulsar (J0633+1746). Our results are based on 7 hours of fast-sampled VLA data, which we averaged synchronously with the pulse period using a period model based on CGRO/EGRET gamma-ray data. Our limit accounts for the fact that this pulsar is most likely subject to interstellar scintillations on a timescale much shorter than our observing span. Our Bayesian method is quite general and can be applied to calculate the fluxes of other scintillated sources. We also present a Bayesian technique for calculating the flux in a pulsed signal of unknown width and phase. Comparing our upper limit of 3 mJy with the quoted flux density of Geminga at 102 MHz, we calculate a lower limit to its spectral index of 2.7. We discuss some possible reasons for Geminga's weakness at radio wavelengths, and the likelihood that many of the unidentified EGRET sources are also radio-quiet or radio-weak Geminga-like pulsars.