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A universality property for large deviations of RWRE close to the axis

Probability 2026-01-28 v1

Abstract

We establish a general version of the strong KPZ universality conjecture near the axis for random walks in a random environment (RWRE) on Z2\mathbb{Z}^2. For an i.i.d. elliptic random environment, we consider the quenched large deviations probabilities for trajectories starting at the origin and arriving at time n+[na]n+[n^a] to the position (n,[na])(n,[n^a]) and show that, if the logarithm of the right-jump probability has a finite moment of order p>2p>2, then for a<37(12p)a < \frac{3}{7}(1-\frac{2}{p}) the fluctuations of these propabilities are asymptotically governed by the GUE Tracy-Widom distribution. Our results are based on a comparison between RWRE and a last passage percolation model, whose asymptotic fluctuations near the axis were previously established independently by Bodineau-Martin and Baik-Suidan. Furthermore, we obtain also the full convergence to the directed landscape in this regime based on the extension of the aforementioned results to this setting by McKeown and Zhang.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2601.19024,
  title  = {A universality property for large deviations of RWRE close to the axis},
  author = {Pablo Groisman and Alejandro F. Ramírez and Santiago Saglietti and Sebastián Zaninovich},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.19024},
  year   = {2026}
}

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9 pages