English

A two-step approach for analyzing time to event data under non-proportional hazards

Methodology 2024-02-14 v1

Abstract

The log-rank test and the Cox proportional hazards model are commonly used to compare time-to-event data in clinical trials, as they are most powerful under proportional hazards. But there is a loss of power if this assumption is violated, which is the case for some new oncology drugs like immunotherapies. We consider a two-stage test procedure, in which the weighting of the log-rank test statistic depends on a pre-test of the proportional hazards assumption. I.e., depending on the pre-test either the log-rank or an alternative test is used to compare the survival probabilities. We show that if naively implemented this can lead to a substantial inflation of the type-I error rate. To address this, we embed the two-stage test in a permutation test framework to keep the nominal level alpha. We compare the operating characteristics of the two-stage test with the log-rank test and other tests by clinical trial simulations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2402.08336,
  title  = {A two-step approach for analyzing time to event data under non-proportional hazards},
  author = {Jonas Brugger and Tim Friede and Florian Klinglmüller and Martin Posch and Robin Ristl and Franz König},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.08336},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T14:47:09.504Z