English

A multi-series framework for demand forecasts in E-commerce

Machine Learning 2019-06-03 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

Sales forecasts are crucial for the E-commerce business. State-of-the-art techniques typically apply only univariate methods to make prediction for each series independently. However, due to the short nature of sales times series in E-commerce, univariate methods don't apply well. In this article, we propose a global model which outperforms state-of-the-art models on real dataset. It is achieved by using Tree Boosting Methods that exploit non-linearity and cross-series information. We also proposed a preprocessing framework to overcome the inherent difficulties in the E-commerce data. In particular, we use different schemes to limit the impact of the volatility of the data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1905.13614,
  title  = {A multi-series framework for demand forecasts in E-commerce},
  author = {Rémy Garnier and Arnaud Belletoile},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.13614},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

Presented at APIA 2019 conference

R2 v1 2026-06-23T09:35:19.599Z