A mixture autoregressive model based on Gaussian and Student's $t$-distributions
Econometrics
2026-02-10 v3 Statistics Theory
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Abstract
We introduce a new mixture autoregressive model which combines Gaussian and Student's mixture components. The model has very attractive properties analogous to the Gaussian and Student's mixture autoregressive models, but it is more flexible as it enables to model series which consist of both conditionally homoscedastic Gaussian regimes and conditionally heteroscedastic Student's regimes. The usefulness of our model is demonstrated in an empirical application to the monthly U.S. interest rate spread between the 3-month Treasury bill rate and the effective federal funds rate.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2003.05221,
title = {A mixture autoregressive model based on Gaussian and Student's $t$-distributions},
author = {Savi Virolainen},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.05221},
year = {2026}
}