English

A mixed fractional CIR model: positivity and an implicit Euler scheme

Probability 2026-02-13 v2

Abstract

We consider a Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) type short rate model driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion. Let M=B+BHM=B+B^H be a one-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H>1/2H>1/2, and let M=(M,MIto^)\mathbf{M}=(M,\mathbb{M}^{\mathrm{It\hat{o}}}) denote its canonical It\^o rough path lift. We study the rough differential equation \begin{equation}\label{eqn1} \dd r_t = k(\theta-r_t)\,\dd t + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}\,\dd\mathbf{M}_t,\qquad r_0>0, \end{equation} and prove that, under the Feller condition 2kθ>σ22k\theta>\sigma^2, the unique rough path solution is almost surely strictly positive for all times. The proof relies on an It\^o type formula for rough paths, together with refined pathwise estimates for the mixed fractional Brownian motion, including L\'evy's modulus of continuity for the Brownian part and a law of the iterated logarithm for the fractional component. As a consequence, the positivity property of the classical CIR model extends to this non-Markovian rough path setting. We also establish the convergence of an implicit Euler scheme for the associated singular equation obtained by a square-root transformation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.17015,
  title  = {A mixed fractional CIR model: positivity and an implicit Euler scheme},
  author = {Cong Zhang and Chunhao Cai},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.17015},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:48:26.339Z