A lower-tail limit in the weak noise theory

We consider the variational problem associated with the Freidlin--Wentzell Large Deviation Principle of the Stochastic Heat Equation (SHE). The logarithm of the minimizer of the variational problem gives the most probable shape of the solution of the Kardar--Parisi--Zhang equation conditioned on achieving certain unlikely values. Taking the SHE with the delta initial condition and conditioning the value of its solution at the origin at a later time, under suitable scaling, we prove that the logarithm of the minimizer converges to an explicit function as we tune the value of the conditioning to $0$. Our result confirms the physics prediction Kolokolov and Korshunov (2009), Meerson, Katzav, and Vilenkin (2016), Kamenev, Meerson, and Sasorov (2016).