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A Functional Central Limit Theorem for Localized Partial Sums of Non-Stationary Time Series

Statistics Theory 2026-07-20 v1

Abstract

A localized functional central limit theorem is established for kernel-weighted partial sum processes of piecewise locally stationary time series under geometric decay of the physical dependence measure. The localized process is shown to converge weakly to a centered Gaussian random distribution in D(0,1)D'(0,1), and the limit extends naturally to an isonormal Gaussian process on L2([0,1])L^2([0,1]). Weak convergence is further derived for processes indexed by totally bounded subsets of L2([0,1])L^2([0,1]). As an application, the localized limit theory is used to construct tests for constant mean functions against linear, polynomial, and general alternatives in non-parametric regression with locally stationary errors. Simulation results and data examples illustrate the finite sample performance and practical applicability of the proposed methodology.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2607.17697,
  title  = {A Functional Central Limit Theorem for Localized Partial Sums of Non-Stationary Time Series},
  author = {Florian Heinrichs},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.17697},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Keywords: Physical Dependence Measure, Piecewise Local Stationarity, Functional Central Limit Theorem, Kernel-Weighted Partial Sums, Change Detection