English

A Forecaster's Review of Judea Pearl's Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference, Second Edition, 2009

Methodology 2023-08-11 v1 Machine Learning Applications

Abstract

With the big popularity and success of Judea Pearl's original causality book, this review covers the main topics updated in the second edition in 2009 and illustrates an easy-to-follow causal inference strategy in a forecast scenario. It further discusses some potential benefits and challenges for causal inference with time series forecasting when modeling the counterfactuals, estimating the uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge to estimate causal effects in different forecasting scenarios.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2308.05451,
  title  = {A Forecaster's Review of Judea Pearl's Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference, Second Edition, 2009},
  author = {Feng Li},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.05451},
  year   = {2023}
}